Extra update – The trade war is really taking off

  • U.S. import tariffs lead to downward revision of economic outlook;
  • With the likely negative impact on the US economy and possible higher inflation expectations, the dollar is back to summer 2024 levels;
  • As a result of the negative sentiment, oil prices fell more than 15%;
  • Gas prices are also under pressure, although expected purchases to fill gas inventories provide a floor.

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